Researcher says OpenAI & ChatGPT are an ‘off-ramp to AGI’

OpenAI Briefing: CTO says the models in the lab aren’t that advanced

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• OpenAI’s annualized revenue reaches $3.4 billion (The Information).

• The technology that could force U.S. drivers to stop speeding (The Verge).

• OpenAI significantly expands team of international lobbyists (Financial Times).

• Microsoft President Brad Smith grilled by Congress after security breaches (Washington Post).

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Researcher says OpenAI & ChatGPT are an ‘off-ramp to AGI’

Francois Chollet, a deep learning researcher at Google, said earlier this week that OpenAI “basically set back progress to artificial general intelligence (AGI) by 5-10 years.” 

• “They caused this complete closing down of frontier research publishing,” he said. “Now LLMs have sucked the oxygen out of the room. I see LLMs have more of an off-ramp on the path to AGI.”

Chollet’s view, and the view of a growing number of researchers (Gary Marcus, Yann LeCun, Grady Booch, etc.) is that any “reasoning” LLMs might demonstrate is nothing more than an illusion, as it is a direct result of their training data. 

• “Scale is not intelligence,” Chollet said. “General intelligence is the ability to approach any problem, any skill, and very quickly master it, using very little data.”

• He added that general human intelligence involves far more than memorization: “We have a memory, but we are not a memory.” 

Chollet at the same time launched Arc Prize, a $1 million competition to try and get AI research “back on track towards AGI.”

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OpenAI Briefing: CTO says the models in the lab aren’t that advanced

OpenAI CTO Mira Murati told Fortune Wednesday that the company isn’t hiding AGI somewhere in its lab. 

• “Inside the labs, we have these capable models. And they’re not that far ahead from what the public has access to for free,” she said, adding that this “allows people to prepare for the advent of bringing advanced AI into the world.”

OpenAI said last month that it has “begun training its next frontier model and we anticipate the resulting systems to bring us to the next level of capabilities on our path to AGI.”

• “I don’t think people quite realize the significance of this moment, so I will spell it out: OpenAI has been bluffing all along, and their CTO just gave away the fact that they are not holding aces,” cognitive scientist Gary Marcus said. 

In other OpenAI News: The Information reported that neither Apple nor OpenAI are paying each other for the coming integration of ChatGPT into Apple’s OS. 

• OpenAI’s hope is to drive people to the paid version of ChatGPT. Apple will take its customary 30% slice of any of those purchases. 

This is a markedly different arrangement than Apple’s search engine partnership with Google, in which Google paid Apple billions of dollars to be Safari’s default option. This search engine dominance later landed Google in hot water with the U.S. Justice Department for alleged monopolistic behavior. 

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Thank You For Reading!

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